Defense Analyst Loren Thompson Again Warns Against the Danger of World War III
April 26, 2014 • 3:42PM

The Lexington Institute's Loren Thompson has another column, posted in Forbes yesterday, on the subject of how the confrontation with Russia could escalate into a nuclear war. Thompson writes that the sources of Russia's geopolitical concerns, dating from the Cold War, have not gone away, and "Moscow may have greater reason for worrying today, because it has lost the buffer of allies that insulated it from Western attack during the Cold War, and now finds its capital only a few minutes from the eastern border of Ukraine by jet (less by missile)."

Thompson points to the presence of so-called nonstrategic nuclear weapons—about 200 U.S.-supplied B61 bombs in Europe, and an estimated 2,000 similar weapons in the Russian inventory (it should be noted, however, that all of the Russian bombs are on Russian territory), and the fact that the use of these weapons is fully incorporated into NATO and Russian military doctrine, and that they're under looser control than strategic nuclear weapons. Thompson then goes on to describe four scenarios in which these nukes might be used: bad intelligence, not that the United States doesn't have intelligence, but rather has a long history on misinterpreting it; defective signaling; looming defeat; and command breakdown.

Thompson concludes:

"When you consider all the processes working to degrade restraint in wartime poor intelligence, garbled communication, battlefield setbacks, command attenuation, and a host of other influences it seems reasonable to consider that a military confrontation between NATO and Russia might in some manner escalate out of control, even to the point of using nuclear weapons."

The scenarios that Thompson describes are certainly plausible enough, but what he misses is the British Empire's intention behind their manipulation of the confrontation, which isn't about Ukraine as such, but is about fomenting a thermonuclear war between the United States and Russia that would kill off 80% of the world's population.